SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Varnamo | 14 | -10 | 13 |
| 14 | Sundsvall | 13 | -17 | 10 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 14 | -19 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Malmo | 15 | 7 | 27 |
| 4 | Hacken | 12 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Hammarby | 13 | 15 | 24 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Sundsvall had a probability of 21.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Sundsvall win it was 2-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sundsvall | Draw | Hacken |
21.93% ( -0.21) | 22.04% ( -0.13) | 56.03% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 57.82% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.96% ( 0.35) | 41.04% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.57% ( 0.35) | 63.43% ( -0.36) |
| Sundsvall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.64% ( 0.01) | 32.36% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.13% ( 0.01) | 68.87% ( -0.02) |
| Hacken Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.48% ( 0.22) | 14.52% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.46% ( 0.44) | 42.54% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sundsvall | Draw | Hacken |
| 2-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.48% Total : 21.93% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.04% | 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 8.75% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.35% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 5.63% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 3.06% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 2.72% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.05% Total : 56.03% |
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