SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AIK Fotboll | 10 | 6 | 23 |
| 2 | Hacken | 9 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Djurgardens IF | 11 | 12 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | IFK Goteborg | 10 | 1 | 14 |
| 11 | Sirius | 10 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Varnamo | 10 | -1 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 61.2%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 19.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.13%) and 1-0 (7.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Sirius win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hacken | Draw | Sirius |
61.2% ( 0.64) | 19.6% ( -0.32) | 19.19% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 62.16% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.66% ( 1.06) | 33.34% ( -1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.88% ( 1.21) | 55.11% ( -1.21) |
| Hacken Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.4% ( 0.48) | 10.6% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.61% ( 1.07) | 34.38% ( -1.07) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.53% ( 0.33) | 30.47% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.32% ( 0.39) | 66.68% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hacken | Draw | Sirius |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.13)1-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.1)5-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.07)5-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.07)4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.26% Total : 61.2% | 1-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.32% Total : 19.61% | 1-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.75% Total : 19.19% |
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