SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AIK Fotboll | 10 | 6 | 23 |
| 2 | Hacken | 9 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Djurgardens IF | 11 | 12 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Hammarby | 9 | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | Kalmar | 10 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | Elfsborg | 10 | 8 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hacken | Draw | Kalmar |
45.48% ( 1.37) | 23.8% ( -0.77) | 30.72% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 60.19% ( 2.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.3% ( 3.24) | 41.7% ( -3.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.89% ( 3.2) | 64.1% ( -3.2) |
| Hacken Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.42% ( 1.9) | 18.58% ( -1.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.14% ( 3.1) | 49.85% ( -3.11) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.93% ( 1.21) | 26.06% ( -1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.89% ( 1.6) | 61.11% ( -1.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hacken | Draw | Kalmar |
| 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.71)2-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.35)3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.35)4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.27)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.22)Other @ 3.48% Total : 45.48% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( -0.55) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.27)0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.75)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.2)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.75)0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.37% Total : 30.72% |
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