SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasteras SK win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasteras SK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Sirius win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vasteras SK | Draw | Sirius |
42.56% ( -0.03) | 23.49% ( -0) | 33.94% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 62.76% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.07% ( 0.03) | 38.93% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.75% ( 0.03) | 61.24% ( -0.03) |
| Vasteras SK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.32% ( -0) | 18.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.99% ( 0) | 50% ( -0) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.17% ( 0.03) | 22.82% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.45% ( 0.04) | 56.54% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vasteras SK | Draw | Sirius |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.96% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 3.54% Total : 42.56% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.48% | 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.65% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.29% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 3.22% Total : 33.94% |
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