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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 18
Aug 11, 2024 at 3pm UK
Studenternas IP

Sirius
3 - 1
Kalmar

Persson (47'), Milleskog (52'), Lindberg (57')
Castegren (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Skrabb (77' pen.)
Chijioke Osuji (49'), Islamovic (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Varnamo 2-4 Sirius
Sunday, August 4 at 1pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Kalmar 1-4 Hammarby
Sunday, August 4 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Sirius 2-0 Kalmar

Kalmar find themselves scrambling for points at the wrong end of the table and will head into Sunday's tie looking to pick up a morale-boosting victory. However, Sirius boasts a solid home record in this fixture and we see them coming away with the desired result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.

Result
SiriusDrawKalmar
49.32% (1.285 1.29) 22.72% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07) 27.96% (-1.207 -1.21)
Both teams to score 62.19% (-0.669 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.73% (-0.487 -0.49)38.27% (0.492 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.45% (-0.52099999999999 -0.52)60.55% (0.526 0.53)
Sirius Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.2% (0.283 0.28)15.8% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.05% (0.51 0.51)44.95% (-0.504 -0.5)
Kalmar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.86% (-1.041 -1.04)26.14% (1.047 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.78% (-1.422 -1.42)61.22% (1.428 1.43)
Score Analysis
    Sirius 49.32%
    Kalmar 27.96%
    Draw 22.72%
SiriusDrawKalmar
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.117 0.12)
1-0 @ 7.62% (0.248 0.25)
2-0 @ 7.03% (0.292 0.29)
3-1 @ 5.8% (0.126 0.13)
3-0 @ 4.33% (0.218 0.22)
3-2 @ 3.89% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.68% (0.083 0.08)
4-0 @ 2% (0.118 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 49.32%
1-1 @ 10.22% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.33% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.13% (0.096 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.72%
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.188 -0.19)
0-1 @ 5.54% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.72% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 27.96%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Varnamo 2-4 Sirius
Sunday, August 4 at 1pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 0-1 Sirius
Saturday, July 27 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Sirius 3-4 Malmo
Friday, July 19 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Sirius 3-1 GAIS
Saturday, July 13 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Mjallby AIF 3-2 Sirius
Saturday, July 6 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Sirius 5-1 Norrkoping
Saturday, June 1 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Kalmar 1-4 Hammarby
Sunday, August 4 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Norrkoping 2-0 Kalmar
Saturday, July 27 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Kalmar 2-1 Djurgarden
Saturday, July 20 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Kalmar 0-1 Brommapojkarna
Sunday, July 14 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: AIK 1-2 Kalmar
Sunday, July 7 at 1pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Kalmar 0-4 Vasteras
Sunday, June 2 at 1pm in Swedish Allsvenskan


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