SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasteras SK win with a probability of 49.94%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasteras SK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vasteras SK in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vasteras SK | Draw | Kalmar |
49.94% ( -1.37) | 23.26% ( 0.31) | 26.8% ( 1.06) |
| Both teams to score 59.25% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.29% ( -0.55) | 41.7% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.89% ( -0.56) | 64.11% ( 0.56) |
| Vasteras SK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.15% ( -0.7) | 16.85% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.14% ( -1.26) | 46.85% ( 1.26) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.25% ( 0.51) | 28.75% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.41% ( 0.63) | 64.58% ( -0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vasteras SK | Draw | Kalmar |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.23% Total : 49.94% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.46% Total : 26.8% |
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