SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.97%) and 2-1 (7.7%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Godoy Cruz in this match.
| Result | ||
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
39.88% ( 0.11) | 29.65% ( 0.16) | 30.46% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 42.31% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.45% ( -0.56) | 64.55% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.42% ( -0.4) | 83.57% ( 0.39) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.33% ( -0.22) | 31.67% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.92% ( -0.26) | 68.08% ( 0.25) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.91% ( -0.53) | 38.08% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.15% ( -0.51) | 74.85% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 13.86% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.92% Total : 39.88% | 1-1 @ 13.38% 0-0 @ 12.05% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.64% | 0-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.65% Total : 30.46% |
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