SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | River Plate |
33.32% ( -0.02) | 25.71% ( -0.04) | 40.97% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.69% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.64% ( 0.15) | 49.36% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.59% ( 0.13) | 71.41% ( -0.13) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.83% ( 0.06) | 28.17% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.14% ( 0.08) | 63.86% ( -0.08) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.14% ( 0.09) | 23.86% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.95% ( 0.13) | 58.04% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.28% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.32% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.9% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 40.97% |
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