SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 2-1 (7.2%). The likeliest Godoy Cruz win was 0-1 (12.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Belgrano in this match.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
38.37% ( 0.47) | 30.79% ( -0.2) | 30.85% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 39.66% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.21% ( 0.51) | 67.8% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.2% ( 0.34) | 85.8% ( -0.34) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.68% ( 0.58) | 34.32% ( -0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.98% ( 0.62) | 71.03% ( -0.62) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.38% ( 0.09) | 39.62% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.7% ( 0.08) | 76.3% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgrano | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
| 1-0 @ 14.54% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.33% Total : 38.37% | 0-0 @ 13.59% ( -0.26) 1-1 @ 13.46% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.77% | 0-1 @ 12.59% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.45% Total : 30.85% |
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