SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 35.97%. A draw had a probability of 32.3% and a win for San Martin de San Juan had a probability of 31.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.31%) and 1-2 (6.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.67%), while for a San Martin de San Juan win it was 1-0 (13.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Platense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Martin de San Juan | Draw | Platense |
31.76% ( 0.19) | 32.28% ( 0.09) | 35.97% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 36.43% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 28.36% ( -0.22) | 71.64% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 11.74% ( -0.13) | 88.26% ( 0.14) |
| San Martin de San Juan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.84% ( 0.02) | 41.16% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.3% ( 0.01) | 77.7% ( -0.01) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.92% ( -0.32) | 38.08% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.16% ( -0.31) | 74.84% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Martin de San Juan | Draw | Platense |
| 1-0 @ 13.91% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 5.96% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.76% ( 0)Other @ 2.12% Total : 31.76% | 0-0 @ 15.67% ( 0.13) 1-1 @ 13.43% 2-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.29% Total : 32.27% | 0-1 @ 15.13% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.07)1-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.68% Total : 35.96% |
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