SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 45.13%. A draw had a probability of 31.9% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 22.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.56%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Platense in this match.
| Result | ||
| Platense | Draw | Gimnasia |
45.13% ( 0.02) | 31.91% ( -0) | 22.97% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 33.46% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 26.89% ( 0.01) | 73.11% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 10.84% ( 0.01) | 89.16% ( -0) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.83% ( 0.02) | 33.17% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.23% ( 0.02) | 69.78% ( -0.01) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.07% ( -0.01) | 49.93% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.39% ( -0) | 84.61% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Platense | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 18.27% 2-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 45.12% | 0-0 @ 16.56% 1-1 @ 12.69% 2-2 @ 2.43% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 31.9% | 0-1 @ 11.5% 1-2 @ 4.41% ( -0)0-2 @ 4% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.02% 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.11% Total : 22.96% |
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