SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 40.17%. A draw had a probability of 31.5% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 28.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.41%) and 1-2 (7.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.84%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Platense |
28.36% ( -0.6) | 31.47% ( 0.07) | 40.17% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 37.32% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.84% ( -0.33) | 70.16% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.67% ( -0.21) | 87.34% ( 0.21) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.96% ( -0.7) | 43.04% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.68% ( -0.6) | 79.32% ( 0.6) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.52% ( 0.15) | 34.48% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.8% ( 0.16) | 71.2% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | Platense |
| 1-0 @ 12.51% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.9% Total : 28.36% | 0-0 @ 14.84% ( 0.18) 1-1 @ 13.32% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.32% Total : 31.47% | 0-1 @ 15.8% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.17)1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.3% Total : 40.17% |
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