South Korea have been remarkably resilient throughout the tournament, but we believe their luck will run out against a Socceroos side that have shown discipline, poise and consistency throughout this competition, which is why we are leaning towards them narrowly advancing.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for South Korea had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest South Korea win was 0-1 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%).
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