SM
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Iraq had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Iraq win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for South Korea in this match.
| Result | ||
| Iraq | Draw | South Korea |
30.43% ( -0.16) | 27.47% ( 0.22) | 42.11% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 48.22% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.82% ( -0.87) | 57.18% ( 0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.96% ( -0.7) | 78.04% ( 0.7) |
| Iraq Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.88% ( -0.57) | 34.12% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.2% ( -0.62) | 70.8% ( 0.63) |
| South Korea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.19% ( -0.43) | 26.81% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.9% ( -0.57) | 62.1% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Iraq | Draw | South Korea |
| 1-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.31% Total : 30.43% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.46% | 0-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.01% Total : 42.11% |
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