SM
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for China had a probability of 17.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.93%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a China win it was 1-0 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| China | Draw | South Korea |
17.43% ( 0.64) | 21.93% ( 0.2) | 60.64% ( -0.84) |
| Both teams to score 50.53% ( 0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53% ( 0.23) | 47% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.76% ( 0.22) | 69.24% ( -0.22) |
| China Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.48% ( 0.92) | 40.52% ( -0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.87% ( 0.82) | 77.13% ( -0.82) |
| South Korea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.96% ( -0.19) | 15.04% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.47% ( -0.37) | 43.53% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| China | Draw | South Korea |
| 1-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.96% Total : 17.43% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.95% Total : 21.92% | 0-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 10.93% ( -0.26)1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 6.91% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 6.24% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 3.27% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 2.96% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.4% Total : 60.63% |
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