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Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 23, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Al Bayt Stadium
IN

Syria
1 - 0
India

Khribin (76')
Rahman Oues (26'), Khribin (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bheke (2'), Stimac (3'), Mahesh Singh (26')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Syria 0-1 Australia
Thursday, January 18 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: India 0-3 Uzbekistan
Thursday, January 18 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup

We said: Syria 1-0 India

Injuries and mental lapses have come back to bite India throughout the tournament, and Syria do not make nearly as many mistakes as the Blue Tigers, which is why we are giving the Syrians the edge in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a India win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Syria had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a India win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Syria win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Syria in this match.

Result
SyriaDrawIndia
29.02% (-0.512 -0.51) 26.56% (0.124 0.12) 44.42% (0.386 0.39)
Both teams to score 50.2% (-0.649 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.68% (-0.704 -0.7)54.32% (0.702 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.29% (-0.591 -0.59)75.7% (0.59100000000001 0.59)
Syria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.34% (-0.751 -0.75)33.66% (0.75 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.69% (-0.826 -0.83)70.31% (0.825 0.83)
India Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.67% (-0.123 -0.12)24.33% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.28% (-0.172 -0.17)58.71% (0.171 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Syria 29.02%
    India 44.42%
    Draw 26.55%
SyriaDrawIndia
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-1 @ 6.86% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-0 @ 4.85% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.49% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.76% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 29.02%
1-1 @ 12.6% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.19% (0.222 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.55%
0-1 @ 11.57% (0.27 0.27)
1-2 @ 8.91%
0-2 @ 8.18% (0.166 0.17)
1-3 @ 4.2% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.86% (0.065 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.36% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 44.42%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Syria 0-1 Australia
Thursday, January 18 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Last Game: Uzbekistan 0-0 Syria
Saturday, January 13 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Syria 2-2 Malaysia
Monday, January 8 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Syria 1-1 Kyrgyzstan
Friday, January 5 at 2.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Syria 0-5 Japan
Tuesday, November 21 at 2.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Syria 1-0 North Korea
Thursday, November 16 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: India 0-3 Uzbekistan
Thursday, January 18 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Australia 2-0 India
Saturday, January 13 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Last Game: India 0-3 Qatar
Tuesday, November 21 at 1.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Kuwait 0-1 India
Thursday, November 16 at 4.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Malaysia 4-2 India
Friday, October 13 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: India 2-0 Kyrgyzstan
Tuesday, March 28 at 1.30pm in International Friendlies


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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