SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Spain | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Germany | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 3 | -8 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Syria had a probability of 17.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.5%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Syria win it was 1-0 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Syria | Draw | Japan |
17.51% ( 2.73) | 23.08% ( 1.26) | 59.42% ( -3.99) |
| Both teams to score 47.22% ( 2.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.48% ( -0.4) | 51.52% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.68% ( -0.35) | 73.32% ( 0.35) |
| Syria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.9% ( 3.38) | 43.1% ( -3.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.62% ( 2.71) | 79.38% ( -2.71) |
| Japan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.99% ( -1.49) | 17.01% ( 1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.86% ( -2.71) | 47.14% ( 2.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Syria | Draw | Japan |
| 1-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.66)2-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.48)3-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.21)Other @ 1.71% Total : 17.51% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.64) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.4)Other @ 0.74% Total : 23.08% | 0-1 @ 12.98% ( -0.46) 0-2 @ 11.5% ( -1.02)1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 6.79% ( -0.98)1-3 @ 5.72% ( -0.24)0-4 @ 3.01% ( -0.61)1-4 @ 2.53% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.12)0-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.28)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 59.41% |
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