SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kyrgyzstan win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Syria had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kyrgyzstan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Syria win was 1-0 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Syria | Draw | Kyrgyzstan |
32.13% ( 0.34) | 25.52% ( 0.16) | 42.35% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 54.93% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.12% ( -0.6) | 48.87% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.03% ( -0.55) | 70.97% ( 0.55) |
| Syria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.3% ( -0.08) | 28.69% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.48% ( -0.1) | 64.52% ( 0.1) |
| Kyrgyzstan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.04% ( -0.5) | 22.96% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.26% ( -0.74) | 56.74% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Syria | Draw | Kyrgyzstan |
| 1-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.64% Total : 32.13% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.9% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.13% Total : 42.35% |
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