SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartberg win with a probability of 76.4%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Austria Lustenau had a probability of 9.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartberg win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.11%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.38%), while for an Austria Lustenau win it was 2-1 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartberg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austria Lustenau | Draw | Hartberg |
9.44% ( 0.94) | 14.15% ( 1.09) | 76.4% ( -2.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.2% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.59% ( -2.47) | 29.4% ( 2.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.53% ( -3.07) | 50.46% ( 3.06) |
| Austria Lustenau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.92% ( 0.03) | 41.07% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.38% ( 0.03) | 77.61% ( -0.04) |
| Hartberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.66% ( -0.88) | 6.33% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.2% ( -2.48) | 23.8% ( 2.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austria Lustenau | Draw | Hartberg |
| 2-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.32)3-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.09% Total : 9.44% | 1-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.17)0-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.36)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 14.15% | 0-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.41) 0-3 @ 9.11% ( -0.09)1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.38)1-3 @ 8.11% ( -0.07)0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.65)0-4 @ 6.29% ( -0.4)1-4 @ 5.59% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 3.47% ( -0.42)1-5 @ 3.09% ( -0.37)2-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.15)0-6 @ 1.6% ( -0.29)1-6 @ 1.42% ( -0.26)2-5 @ 1.37% ( -0.16)Other @ 4.38% Total : 76.4% |
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