Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 82.36%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Austria Lustenau had a probability of 6.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-3 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-3 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.19%), while for an Austria Lustenau win it was 2-1 (1.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.