SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartberg win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for WSG Swarovski Tirol had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest WSG Swarovski Tirol win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartberg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartberg | Draw | WSG Swarovski Tirol |
39.03% ( 0.19) | 25.04% ( -0.03) | 35.93% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 57.55% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.11% ( 0.13) | 45.89% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.8% ( 0.12) | 68.2% ( -0.13) |
| Hartberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.7% ( 0.15) | 23.3% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.75% ( 0.23) | 57.24% ( -0.24) |
| WSG Swarovski Tirol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.04% ( -0.04) | 24.96% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.4% ( -0.04) | 59.6% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartberg | Draw | WSG Swarovski Tirol |
| 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 39.03% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.03% | 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.93% |
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