SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for WSG Swarovski Tirol had a probability of 19.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a WSG Swarovski Tirol win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sturm Graz | Draw | WSG Swarovski Tirol |
58.38% ( -0.3) | 21.67% ( 0.05) | 19.94% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 55.98% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.98% ( 0.14) | 42.02% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.58% ( 0.14) | 64.42% ( -0.15) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.9% ( -0.05) | 14.1% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.27% ( -0.09) | 41.73% ( 0.09) |
| WSG Swarovski Tirol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.17% ( 0.34) | 34.83% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.44% ( 0.36) | 71.56% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sturm Graz | Draw | WSG Swarovski Tirol |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.05% Total : 58.38% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.67% | 1-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.99% Total : 19.94% |
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