SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Hartberg had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Hartberg win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Hartberg |
49.32% ( -0.55) | 23.84% ( 0) | 26.83% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 57.27% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.67% ( 0.41) | 44.33% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.3% ( 0.39) | 66.7% ( -0.4) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.92% ( -0.06) | 18.07% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51% ( -0.1) | 48.99% ( 0.09) |
| Hartberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.91% ( 0.63) | 30.09% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.77% ( 0.75) | 66.23% ( -0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Hartberg |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.57% Total : 49.32% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.12% Total : 26.83% |
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