Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 56.83%. A win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 21.67% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Austria Vienna win was 1-2 (5.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Austria Vienna |
56.83% ( -0.28) | 21.51% ( 0.19) | 21.67% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 59.32% ( -0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.13% ( -0.77) | 38.87% ( 0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.81% ( -0.82) | 61.19% ( 0.82) |
Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.46% ( -0.34) | 13.55% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.37% ( -0.68) | 40.63% ( 0.68) |
Austria Vienna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.62% ( -0.36) | 31.38% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.25% ( -0.41) | 67.75% ( 0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Austria Vienna |
2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.52% Total : 56.83% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.51% | 1-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 21.67% |
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