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Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2024 at 4pm UK
Red Bull Arena

Salzburg
2 - 0
Austria Vienna

Gluh (10' pen., 88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bari (9'), Fitz (41'), Ranftl (52')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Red Bull Salzburg and Austria Vienna.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swarovski 0-0 Salzburg
Sunday, September 22 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Austria Vienna 2-2 Sturm Graz
Wednesday, September 25 at 5.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 56.83%. A win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 21.67% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Austria Vienna win was 1-2 (5.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.

Result
Red Bull SalzburgDrawAustria Vienna
56.83% (-0.284 -0.28) 21.51% (0.19 0.19) 21.67% (0.096 0.1)
Both teams to score 59.32% (-0.539 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.13% (-0.769 -0.77)38.87% (0.77 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.81% (-0.815 -0.82)61.19% (0.816 0.82)
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.46% (-0.336 -0.34)13.55% (0.338 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.37% (-0.679 -0.68)40.63% (0.681 0.68)
Austria Vienna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.62% (-0.355 -0.36)31.38% (0.356 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.25% (-0.412 -0.41)67.75% (0.413 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Red Bull Salzburg 56.83%
    Austria Vienna 21.67%
    Draw 21.51%
Red Bull SalzburgDrawAustria Vienna
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.5% (0.202 0.2)
2-0 @ 8.49% (0.097 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.56% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.8% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.28% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.83% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.31% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 56.83%
1-1 @ 9.85% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.25% (0.153 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.51%
1-2 @ 5.71% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 4.93% (0.131 0.13)
0-2 @ 2.86% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 21.67%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Swarovski 0-0 Salzburg
Sunday, September 22 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Sparta Prague 3-0 Salzburg
Wednesday, September 18 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Rapid Vienna 3-2 Salzburg
Sunday, September 1 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Salzburg 1-1 Dynamo Kiev
Tuesday, August 27 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-2 Salzburg
Wednesday, August 21 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: LASK 0-1 Salzburg
Saturday, August 17 at 6.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Austria Vienna 2-2 Sturm Graz
Wednesday, September 25 at 5.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Rapid Vienna 2-1 Austria Vienna
Sunday, September 22 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Rheindorf Altach 1-1 Austria Vienna
Sunday, September 1 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Austria Vienna 2-1 LASK
Sunday, August 25 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Hartberg 1-1 Austria Vienna
Sunday, August 18 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Austria Vienna 3-1 Wolfsberger
Sunday, August 11 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga


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