SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Austria Vienna win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Austria Vienna | Draw | Sturm Graz |
33.72% ( 3.52) | 25.62% ( 0.31) | 40.65% ( -3.83) |
| Both teams to score 55.1% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.12% ( -0.14) | 48.88% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.03% ( -0.12) | 70.97% ( 0.13) |
| Austria Vienna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.31% ( 2.24) | 27.68% ( -2.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.76% ( 2.79) | 63.24% ( -2.79) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.2% ( -1.9) | 23.8% ( 1.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.03% ( -2.81) | 57.97% ( 2.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austria Vienna | Draw | Sturm Graz |
| 1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.56) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.56)2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.67)3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.43)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.41)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.19)Other @ 2.89% Total : 33.72% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.49) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.4)0-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.77)1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.45)0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.58)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.26)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.29)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.97% Total : 40.65% |
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