Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 49.68%. A win for WSG Swarovski Tirol had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest WSG Swarovski Tirol win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.