SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Roma |
45.79% ( 0.21) | 24.28% ( -0.04) | 29.93% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 58.05% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.68% ( 0.12) | 44.32% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.31% ( 0.12) | 66.7% ( -0.11) |
| Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.5% ( 0.14) | 19.5% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.62% ( 0.23) | 51.38% ( -0.22) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.12% ( -0.05) | 27.88% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.51% ( -0.06) | 63.49% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Roma |
| 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 45.79% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 29.93% |
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