Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 51.25%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 25.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.
