SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsberger win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Grazer AK had a probability of 37.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsberger win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Grazer AK win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsberger would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsberger | Draw | Grazer AK |
37.66% ( -0.41) | 25.24% ( 0.13) | 37.11% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 56.92% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.26% ( -0.57) | 46.74% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31% ( -0.54) | 69% ( 0.54) |
| Wolfsberger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.59% ( -0.48) | 24.4% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.17% ( -0.69) | 58.82% ( 0.69) |
| Grazer AK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.3% ( -0.11) | 24.7% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.75% ( -0.15) | 59.24% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsberger | Draw | Grazer AK |
| 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.9% Total : 37.66% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.85% Total : 37.11% |
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