Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grazer AK win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grazer AK win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.