Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Grazer AK had a probability of 36.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Grazer AK win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
