Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 17.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.34%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
