SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Belshina | 16 | -5 | 17 |
| 13 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 16 | -12 | 13 |
| 14 | Vitebsk | 17 | -15 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | FC Minsk | 17 | 5 | 29 |
| 6 | Dinamo Minsk | 14 | 9 | 28 |
| 7 | Gomel | 17 | 2 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 48.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.41%) and 1-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 1-0 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dinamo Minsk in this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Dinamo Minsk |
25% ( 0.05) | 26.43% ( 0.04) | 48.56% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 47.64% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.8% ( -0.13) | 56.19% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.75% ( -0.1) | 77.25% ( 0.1) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.02% ( -0.03) | 37.98% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.25% ( -0.03) | 74.75% ( 0.03) |
| Dinamo Minsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.81% ( -0.09) | 23.18% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.92% ( -0.14) | 57.07% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Dinamo Minsk |
| 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.03% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.95% 3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 1.62% Total : 25% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 9.41% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 48.56% |
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