Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Energetik-BGU win with a probability of 50.71%. A win for Belshina had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Energetik-BGU win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Belshina win was 2-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Energetik-BGU would win this match.