Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Energetik-BGU win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Smolevichi had a probability of 36.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Energetik-BGU win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Smolevichi win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Energetik-BGU would win this match.