Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Minsk win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Energetik-BGU had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Energetik-BGU win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Minsk would win this match.