Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Energetik-BGU win with a probability of 38%. A win for Slavia Mozyr had a probability of 36.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Energetik-BGU win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Slavia Mozyr win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Energetik-BGU would win this match.