Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
