Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
