Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 61.48%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Slutsk had a probability of 17.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Slutsk win it was 1-0 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.