Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Slavia Mozyr had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Slavia Mozyr win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Torpedo-BelAZ in this match.