Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rukh Brest win with a probability of 49.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Gorodeya had a probability of 24.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rukh Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.34%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Gorodeya win it was 1-0 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rukh Brest would win this match.