Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Rukh Brest had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Rukh Brest win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.