Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Gorodeya had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Gorodeya win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.