Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Isloch had a probability of 17.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.13%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Isloch win it was 1-0 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.
