Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Isloch had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Isloch win was 1-0 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.
