Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 36.87%. A win for Gomel had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.37%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Gomel win was 1-0 (12.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtyor Soligorsk would win this match.
