Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 66.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Slutsk had a probability of 14.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Slutsk win it was 2-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.
