Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Dinamo Minsk had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Dinamo Minsk win was 0-1 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Neman in this match.