Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 36.69%. A win for Dynamo Brest had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.43%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Dynamo Brest win was 0-1 (12.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Neman in this match.